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Colon vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Espinosa L.

AI Match Summary

Colon in this Segunda Division 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Colon
22%
Draws
18%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Colon have won more games recently than Cerrito.
  • Colon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Cerrito
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 68 / 100
Cerrito 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Cerrito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Colon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Colon scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Cerrito conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Cerrito
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albion26155633:1750
2Colon26138532:1747
3Central Esp.261210429:1646
4Atenas26135835:2344
5Maldonado26117831:2140
6Club Oriental De Futbol26108832:2938
7Tacuarembo26910728:2537
8Fenix26107931:3037
9Rentistas261061033:3336
10La Luz26512926:3627
11Rampla Juniors25751322:2826
12Cerrito26581320:3623
13Club Atletico Artigas254101128:4122
14Uruguay Montevideo FC26451716:4417