Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colon vs Paysandu Bella Vista

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023
Wed, Sep 20, 2023
2 - 1
01:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Villalba F.
84' Event
Lima R.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Colon in this Copa Uruguay 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colon
6%
Draws
4%
Paysandu Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colon lately — more wins on the board than Paysandu Bella Vista.
  • Win probability leans Colon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Colon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu Bella Vista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Paysandu Bella Vista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Colon vs Paysandu Bella Vista
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paysandu Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 95 / 100
Paysandu Bella Vista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Paysandu Bella Vista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Colon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Colon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Paysandu Bella Vista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
11 Jul
Huracan FC
0 : 2
Colon
05 Jul
Colon
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
28 Jun
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 1
Colon
20 Jun
Colon
2 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
13 Jun
Colon
1 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

Paysandu Bella Vista

(Away)
26 Sept
Paysandu Bella Vista
0 : 3
Defensor Sp.
20 Sept
Colon
2 : 1
Paysandu Bella Vista
06 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Paysandu Bella Vista
18 May
Paysandu Bella Vista
2 : 5
Fenix
10 May
Paysandu Bella Vista
2 : 1
Bella Vista
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Huracan Buceo1
Ferro Carril2
TBD-
Bella Vista-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CA Cerro-
Tacuarembo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
Wanderers Durazno0
Terremoto2
TBD-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wanderers-
Juventud Colonia2
Salto FC1
TBD-
Albion-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Cooper0
Libertad San Carlos1
TBD-
Uruguay Montevideo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Campana1
Club Atletico Basanez2
TBD-
Cerrito-
Quilmes2
Central Esp.1
TBD-
Rampla Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
La Luz-
Lavalleja (Minas)-
Rocha-
TBD-
Juventud-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Huracan (Treinta y Tres)0
Lito1
TBD-
Sud America-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penarol-
Universitario Salto-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Salus0
Atletico Juanico4
TBD-
Atenas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Colon2
Paysandu Bella Vista1
TBD-
Potencia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Nacional Nueva Helvecia2
Villa Espanola1
TBD-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Deutscher0
Sportivo Barracas1
TBD-
Rentistas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Club Oriental De Futbol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Montevideo-
1/32-finals
Ferro Carril1
Bella Vista0
TBD-
CA Cerro-
Tacuarembo-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
Terremoto1
Miramar2
TBD-
Wanderers-
Juventud Colonia0
Albion5
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Libertad San Carlos0
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Club Atletico Basanez0
Cerrito1
Quilmes1
Rampla Juniors2
TBD-
La Luz-
Lavalleja (Minas)2
Juventud1
TBD-
Danubio-
Lito0
Sud America2
TBD-
Penarol-
Universitario Salto-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Atletico Juanico1
Atenas2
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Colon2
Potencia3
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Nacional Nueva Helvecia1
Progreso2
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Sportivo Barracas2
Rentistas1
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Club Oriental De Futbol-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Montevideo-
1/16-finals
Ferro Carril0
CA Cerro1
Tacuarembo1
Fenix2
Miramar0
Wanderers1
Albion0
River Plate Montevideo2
Uruguay Montevideo FC1
Plaza Colonia2
Defensor Sp.3
Cerrito0
Rampla Juniors2
La Luz3
Lavalleja (Minas)1
Danubio3
Sud America0
Penarol3
Universitario Salto1
Boston River3
Atenas2
Liverpool M.3
Potencia0
Club Nacional4
Progreso1
Montevideo City2
Central San Jose0
Maldonado1
Sportivo Barracas3
Cerro Largo2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Racing Montevideo0
1/8-finals
CA Cerro2
Fenix1
Wanderers0
River Plate Montevideo4
Plaza Colonia0
Defensor Sp.1
La Luz0
Danubio1
Penarol2
Boston River0
Liverpool M.2
Club Nacional1
Montevideo City2
Maldonado0
Sportivo Barracas2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Quarter-finals
CA Cerro1
River Plate Montevideo2
Defensor Sp.1
Danubio0
Penarol3
Liverpool M.1
Montevideo City8
Sportivo Barracas1
Semi-finals
River Plate Montevideo1
Defensor Sp.2
Penarol1
Montevideo City3
Final
Defensor Sp.3
Montevideo City2