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Colon vs Paysandu FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lerman T.
18' Event
Lopez L.
48' Event
Gomez L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colon and Paysandu FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Colon
35%
Draws
32%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colon come out ahead of Paysandu FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Colon Clean Sheet 17%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Paysandu FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Paysandu FC
2:3
Mar 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Colon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quintana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 36 / 100
Paysandu FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Paysandu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paysandu FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Colon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Colon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Paysandu FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
Page 1 of 6

Paysandu FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1
Rentistas
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 River Plate Montevideo 22 9 6 7 34:27 33
3 Rentistas 22 9 6 7 27:25 33
4 Colon 22 9 6 7 23:24 33
5 Club Oriental De Futbol 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
6 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
7 Cerrito 22 8 8 6 29:25 32
8 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 Paysandu FC 22 8 4 10 28:29 28
10 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
11 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 22 6 6 10 17:25 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 4 5 13 20:34 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)