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Colon vs Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Garcia P.

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Colon
11%
Draws
9%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Colon have won more games recently than Plaza Colonia.
  • Colon are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Colon
0:2
Jun 23, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Plaza Colonia
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Plaza Colonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 86 / 100
Plaza Colonia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Plaza Colonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Plaza Colonia let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Plaza Colonia
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158