Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colonia Moscardo vs AD Torrejon Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

77'
Santano F. G.
85' Event
El Mokh H.
89'
Fernandez S.

AI Match Summary

Colonia Moscardo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colonia Moscardo
20%
Draws
34%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Colonia Moscardo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo AD Torrejon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs AD Torrejon
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Colonia Moscardo
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs AD Torrejon
1:1
Mar 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Nov 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Colonia Moscardo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mokh H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AD Torrejon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 41 / 100
AD Torrejon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colonia Moscardo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

AD Torrejon let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Colonia Moscardo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS AD Torrejon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colonia Moscardo

(Home)
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6

AD Torrejon

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Colonia Moscardo 4 2 2 0 9:4 8
3 Galapagar 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
4 Trival Valderas 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 CD Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
6 Leganes B 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
7 Union Adarve 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 Cala Pozuelo 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
10 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
11 CP Parla Escuela 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 CF Fuenlabrada 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
13 AD Torrejon 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
14 San Sebastian Reyes B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
15 Siello 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
16 Mexico 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
17 Rayo Vallecano B 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
18 Real Aranjuez 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)