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Colonia Moscardo vs Paracuellos Antamira

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colonia Moscardo play Paracuellos Antamira in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colonia Moscardo averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Paracuellos Antamira averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Colonia Moscardo won 3, Paracuellos Antamira won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Colonia Moscardo and 1.44 for Paracuellos Antamira. This points to a Colonia Moscardo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colonia Moscardo
16%
Draws
38%
Paracuellos Antamira
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Colonia Moscardo picked up more points recently compared to Paracuellos Antamira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 16%
Paracuellos Antamira Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo Paracuellos Antamira
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Paracuellos Antamira
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Paracuellos Antamira vs Colonia Moscardo
0:1
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Paracuellos Antamira
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Paracuellos Antamira vs Colonia Moscardo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Segado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paracuellos Antamira Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 45 / 100
Paracuellos Antamira 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo Paracuellos Antamira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colonia Moscardo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colonia Moscardo attacking → ← attacking Paracuellos Antamira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colonia Moscardo scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Paracuellos Antamira let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Colonia Moscardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paracuellos Antamira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 34
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Madrid C34237462:1876
2CD Mostoles341712557:3363
3Leganes B341610847:3358
4CD Las Rozas3413111051:3950
5Colonia Moscardo341481248:4850
6RSD Alcala341391252:4748
7Tres Cantos341461445:4848
8Alcorcon B3411121136:3345
9AD Torrejon34917840:3844
10Galapagar3410111344:5541
11Paracuellos Antamira3410101439:4740
12Trival Valderas348161033:4040
13Canillas3410101435:4640
14Collado Villalba341091542:4639
15Rayo Vallecano B341161743:5739
16Parla349111437:4738
17Villanueva del Pardillo CF348111527:3935
18Pozuelo de Alarcon345141528:5229