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Stadium Background

Colorado Caieiras vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Aldana K.
50' Event
Victhor
(Penalty)
90' Event
Rodriguez G.

AI Match Summary

Colorado Caieiras host Sao-Carlense in the Paulista A4. Sao-Carlense go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Colorado Caieiras at 0.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Sao-Carlense at 1 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Colorado Caieiras have won 0 to Sao-Carlense's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Sao-Carlense. Sao-Carlense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colorado Caieiras
6%
Draws
90%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao-Carlense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao-Carlense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Colorado Caieiras.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao-Carlense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A4 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 23%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Caieiras Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 14 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A4
Colorado Caieiras vs Sao-Carlense
1:1
Mar 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Colorado Caieiras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Caieiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sao-Carlense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Caieiras 10 / 100
Sao-Carlense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Caieiras Sao-Carlense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Caieiras scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Sao-Carlense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Colorado Caieiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao-Carlense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Caieiras VS Sao-Carlense
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375