Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Farrington L.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Aaronson P.
Assist: Minoungou G.
45' Event
Moreno S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

FC Dallas in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Dallas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Colorado Rapids
39%
Draws
30%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dallas have won more games recently than Colorado Rapids.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 13%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids FC Dallas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas
3:3
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Rapids Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaronson P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Dallas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 31 / 100
FC Dallas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids FC Dallas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC Dallas conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Colorado Rapids went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS FC Dallas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307