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Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Colorado Rapids Logo

Colorado Rapids

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Minnesota United Logo

Minnesota United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colorado Rapids host Minnesota United in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Colorado Rapids have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Minnesota United's 1.54 scored and 1.64 conceded. Head-to-head, Colorado Rapids have won 2 to Minnesota United's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 2.00) back Colorado Rapids to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Colorado Rapids
20%
Draws
0%
Minnesota United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colorado Rapids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of Minnesota United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colorado Rapids a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids Minnesota United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 MLS
Minnesota United vs Colorado Rapids
3:0
May 26, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 47 / 100
Minnesota United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids Minnesota United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Rapids Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Minnesota United conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Minnesota United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Colorado Rapids's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS Minnesota United
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

Minnesota United

(Away)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)