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Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
McVey C.
22'
Williams L.
28'
Cannon R.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Colorado Rapids and San Diego FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Rapids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colorado Rapids
35%
Draws
19%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colorado Rapids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of San Diego FC on wins alone.
  • Colorado Rapids are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids San Diego FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids
3:0
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC
1:0
May 15, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Rapids Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

San Diego FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 56 / 100
San Diego FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids San Diego FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Rapids Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Colorado Rapids scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Colorado Rapids remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS San Diego FC
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
11 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

San Diego FC

(Away)
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)