Sport Picks
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
US Open Cup Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO 
Match Events
21'
21'
Vieira R.
22'
22'
Navarro R.
36'
36'
Roberts R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Jose Earthquakes lately — more wins on the board than Colorado Rapids.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes taking it.
- San Jose Earthquakes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor San Jose Earthquakes, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 US Open Cup
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
May 11, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
1:2
May 12, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colorado Rapids Compare
Top Goalscorer Yapi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
San Jose Earthquakes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colorado Rapids 20 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Colorado Rapids scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Colorado Rapids remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colorado Rapids VS San Jose Earthquakes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Colorado Rapids
(Home) 27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3 St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3 St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 CF Montreal
30 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 Real Salt Lake
20 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 4
San Jose Earthquakes
(Away) 27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 7
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
20 Aug
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
01 Aug
FC Cincinnati
4 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
