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Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Rocha A.
32'
Burner P.
36'
Kaye M.

AI Match Summary

Sacramento Republic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sacramento Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Colorado Springs
11%
Draws
9%
Sacramento Republic
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Colorado Springs have won more games recently than Sacramento Republic.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Colorado Springs taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 68%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sacramento Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurr J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 86 / 100
Sacramento Republic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Sacramento Republic let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Colorado Springs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS Sacramento Republic
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

Sacramento Republic

(Away)
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1
Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1
New Mexico
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)