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Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Colorado Springs Logo

Colorado Springs

3 - 2
FT
Birmingham Legion Logo

Birmingham Legion

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Kavita P.
24' Event
Brown N.
45' Event
Metusala G.
Assist: Perez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colorado Springs in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colorado Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Colorado Springs
35%
Draws
27%
Birmingham Legion
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Birmingham Legion haven't matched Colorado Springs's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Colorado Springs taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colorado Springs have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 16%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs Birmingham Legion
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion
3:2
Jul 20, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Mar 26, 2022 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Metusala G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngoma S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 39 / 100
Birmingham Legion 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs Birmingham Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Springs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Colorado Springs stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Colorado Springs scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS Birmingham Legion
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
11 Oct
Sacramento Republic
1 : 1
Colorado Springs
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0
Colorado Springs
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham Legion

(Away)
03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0
Birmingham Legion
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2
Charleston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)