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Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Maples T.
45'
Mendez A.
58'
Sub
Magee T. In: Tejada J.
Out: Magee T.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Colorado Springs
35%
Draws
41%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive haven't matched Colorado Springs's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 10%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 30 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs El Paso Locomotive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colorado Springs scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: El Paso Locomotive conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Colorado Springs stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS El Paso Locomotive
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0
Colorado Springs
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6

El Paso Locomotive

(Away)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)