Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colorado Springs vs Texoma FC

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Tejada J.
40'
Valentine R.
46'
Sub
Fontana A. In: Hanya Y.
Out: Fontana A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Colorado Springs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Colorado Springs
28%
Draws
22%
Texoma FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Springs come out ahead of Texoma FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colorado Springs a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Colorado Springs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colorado Springs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 68%
Texoma FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs Texoma FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs Texoma FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerman Q.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tejada J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Texoma FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 59 / 100
Texoma FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs Texoma FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Texoma FC has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Colorado Springs has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS Texoma FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
Charleston
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0
Miami FC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Texoma FC

(Away)
17 Jul
Laredo Heat
2 : 0
Texoma FC
12 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
1 : 2
Texoma FC
08 Jul
Texoma FC
3 : 2
Denton Diablos
05 Jul
McKinney Chupacabras
0 : 2
Texoma FC
28 Jun
Lubbock Matadors
1 : 2
Texoma FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacramento Republic43016:19
2Las Vegas Lights43017:69
3Monterey Bay42026:66
4Orange County SC42025:66
5AV Alta FC42026:65
6Oakland Roots41035:74
7Spokane Velocity41032:53
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC43016:310
2New Mexico430111:88
3Phoenix Rising430112:107
4Colorado Springs42027:57
5El Paso Locomotive42024:46
6Union Omaha41033:53
7Texoma FC40045:131
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indy Eleven44009:211
2Birmingham Legion43018:510
3Chattanooga Red Wolves42025:85
4FC Tulsa41038:84
5Forward Madison41033:84
6One Knoxville41033:52
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rhode Island430111:510
2Hartford Athletic430110:79
3Detroit City43019:68
4Portland Hearts of Pine42028:105
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds41033:54
6Westchester SC40043:110
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence43019:59
2Louisville City43018:49
3Loudoun United43016:49
4North Carolina FC42024:45
5Lexington41036:64
6Richmond Kickers40041:110
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greenville Triumph43016:39
2Tampa Bay42028:77
3South Georgia Tormenta42028:87
4Charleston42026:65
5Miami FC42028:95
6FC Naples41034:73
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)