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Columbus Crew 2 vs New York Red Bulls II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Historic Crew Stadium, Columbus, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Baitinger S.
Assist: Nelich D.
24' Event
Baitinger S.
Assist: Nelich D.
25'
Kone S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Columbus Crew 2 and New York Red Bulls II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Columbus Crew 2
15%
Draws
51%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls II haven't matched Columbus Crew 2's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • New York Red Bulls II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew 2 New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.97 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
7:4
Jul 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Noto G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Baitinger S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 2 34 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew 2 New York Red Bulls II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew 2's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: New York Red Bulls II conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Columbus Crew 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew 2 VS New York Red Bulls II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls II

(Away)
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 1
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)