Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Historic Crew Stadium
Mon, May 25, 2026
2 - 3
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Boneau B.
Assist: Costabile L.
46'
Sub
Kerr K. In: Nolan J.
Out: Kerr K.
46'
Sub
Aoki R. In: Rogers C.
Out: Aoki R.

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Columbus Crew 2
6%
Draws
4%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Columbus Crew 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Columbus Crew 2 lately — more wins on the board than Toronto FC II.
  • Model gives Columbus Crew 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew 2 Toronto FC II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:3
Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew 2
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Toronto FC II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gbamble K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Boneau B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nolan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 2 84 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew 2 Toronto FC II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Columbus Crew 2 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Columbus Crew 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Toronto FC II has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew 2 VS Toronto FC II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512