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Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United

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MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
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AI Match Summary

Columbus Crew play Atlanta United in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Columbus Crew averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Atlanta United averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Columbus Crew won 4, Atlanta United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Columbus Crew and 1.69 for Atlanta United. This points to a Columbus Crew double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Columbus Crew
39%
Draws
31%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Columbus Crew has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atlanta United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 13%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew Atlanta United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
4:5
Jun 25, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atlanta United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 30 / 100
Atlanta United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew Atlanta United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Atlanta United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Columbus Crew went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atlanta United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS Atlanta United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307