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Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Casemiro
28' Event
Martinez J.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Messi L.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Columbus Crew and Inter Miami finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Columbus Crew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Columbus Crew
30%
Draws
28%
Inter Miami
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Columbus Crew come out ahead of Inter Miami on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 11%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew Inter Miami
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.61 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
2:1
Aug 1, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew
2:2
May 31, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew
5:1
Apr 19, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
0:1
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiare J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Messi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 56 / 100
Inter Miami 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew Inter Miami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Inter Miami let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Columbus Crew has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS Inter Miami
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Inter Miami

(Away)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)