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Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Columbus Crew Logo

Columbus Crew

1 - 3
FT
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mendez B.
Assist: Farsi M.
25'
Karumanchi T.
32' Event
Polster M.
Assist: Fofana M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Columbus Crew and New England Revolution finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Columbus Crew
15%
Draws
42%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 16%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew New England Revolution
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Polster M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turgeman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 75 / 100
New England Revolution 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: New England Revolution conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Columbus Crew remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS New England Revolution
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)