Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Columbus Crew vs New York City

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Columbus Crew host New York City in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Columbus Crew have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against New York City's 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Columbus Crew have won 2 to New York City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward New York City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Columbus Crew
20%
Draws
38%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Columbus Crew haven't matched New York City's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 13%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew New York City
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 US Open Cup
Columbus Crew vs New York City
1:0
May 10, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Columbus Crew
3:0
Sep 17, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Columbus Crew
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York City
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York City
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 40 / 100
New York City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew New York City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Columbus Crew scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Columbus Crew has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS New York City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307