Sport Picks
Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
US Open Cup ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the US Open Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Columbus Crew at 1.66 goals for, 1.45 against; St. Louis City at 2.11 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Columbus Crew slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.06, favoring St. Louis City. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Louis City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Louis City carry the better recent record into this one.
- St. Louis City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- St. Louis City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Columbus Crew, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Columbus Crew here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Columbus Crew | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Columbus Crew
1:2
Jan 26, 2024 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs Columbus Crew
0:0
Jul 23, 2023 Leagues Cup
Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Columbus Crew 18 / 100
St. Louis City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Columbus Crew St. Louis City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Louis City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Columbus Crew scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
St. Louis City let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Columbus Crew went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Columbus Crew VS St. Louis City
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Columbus Crew
(Home) 27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Inter Miami
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3 : 0 Colorado Rapids
30 Aug
Columbus Crew
1 : 3 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 4
St. Louis City
(Away) 30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3 St. Louis City
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3 St. Louis City
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2 Minnesota United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3 St. Louis City
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3 St. Louis City
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3 St. Louis City
20 Aug
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
