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Colwyn Bay vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Creamer T.
41' Event
Hill M.
70' Event
Creamer T.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Colwyn Bay and Conwy Borough finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Colwyn Bay
11%
Draws
9%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Conwy Borough haven't matched Colwyn Bay's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 17%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Conwy Borough
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Conwy Borough
5:0
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
0:3
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
1:1
Aug 10, 2021 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Conwy Borough
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Creamer T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hill M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Conwy Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 75 / 100
Conwy Borough 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Conwy Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Colwyn Bay scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Colwyn Bay has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colwyn Bay302721101:2483
2Holywell Town FC30261375:2279
3Llandudno FC30206470:2366
4Guilsfield30176758:3757
5Ruthin Town301631148:4451
6Prestatyn301441266:5046
7Cefn Druids301341348:6443
8Buckley301261253:6142
9Mold Alexandra301051541:5235
10Gresford301051532:4335
11Porthmadog301031736:5333
12Llanidloes Town30761742:6327
13Chirk AAA FC305111432:4926
14Conwy Borough30581733:6423
15Penrhyncoch30372031:7216
16Holyhead30291924:6915