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Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vaughan A.
15'
44' Event
Brown N.

AI Match Summary

Denbigh in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colwyn Bay
6%
Draws
4%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colwyn Bay lately — more wins on the board than Denbigh.
  • Win probability leans Colwyn Bay's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Colwyn Bay have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Denbigh
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Colwyn Bay
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 95 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Denbigh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Colwyn Bay scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Colwyn Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS Denbigh
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%