Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colwyn Bay vs TNS

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

0 - 2
FT
TNS Logo

TNS

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Owen J.
36'
Brobbel R.
53' Event
Williams J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TNS in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Colwyn Bay
15%
Draws
47%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TNS lately — more wins on the board than Colwyn Bay.
  • Colwyn Bay are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%
TNS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay TNS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
5:1
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs TNS
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs TNS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 40 / 100
TNS 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Colwyn Bay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: TNS conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS TNS
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colwyn Bay

(Home)
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Llandudno FC
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TNS

(Away)
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)