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Comarca vs Velez

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Comarca and Velez finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Comarca
15%
Draws
0%
Velez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Comarca haven't matched Velez's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Comarca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Comarca Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comarca Velez
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Velez
0:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Comarca
3:0
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Velez
2:1
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Comarca
0:2
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Velez
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comarca 85 / 100
Velez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comarca Velez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Velez's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Comarca scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Velez
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comarca

(Home)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

Velez

(Away)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)