Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2

Misto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS host Misto in the Sul-Matogrossense 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Misto have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while Comercial MS have conceded 2 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Comercial MS have won 1 to Misto's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.02 vs 1.42, favoring Comercial MS. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Comercial MS

39%

Draws

31%

Misto

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Comercial MS carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Comercial MS Clean Sheet 17%

Misto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial MS	Misto
Matches Played	33	8
Wins	11	2
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	2
Goals Scored	1.38	0.83
Goals Conceded	2	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Misto vs Comercial MS

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Sep 29, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Comercial MS vs Misto

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Feb 25, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs Misto

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Jan 28, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense

Misto vs Comercial MS

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 20, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense

Misto vs Comercial MS

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 30 / 100

Misto 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial MS Misto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Comercial MS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Misto let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Misto

1.38 Goals Scored 0.83

2 Goals Conceded 0.67

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 33%

50% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aquidauanense	4	3	0	1	4:2	9
2	Uniao ABC	4	2	1	1	6:2	7
3	Comercial MS	4	2	1	1	6:4	7
4	Misto	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
5	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	4	2	0	2	4:3	6
6	7 de Setembro	4	1	1	2	5:6	4
7	Sao Gabriel MS	4	1	1	2	3:5	4
8	EC Campo Grande	4	0	1	3	1:8	1