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Comercial MS vs Operario AC

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

4 - 2
FT
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Comercial MS
20%
Draws
7%
Operario AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Operario AC.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Comercial MS taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Comercial MS have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 20%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Operario AC
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 1
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.52 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Operario AC
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Operario AC vs Comercial MS
1:2
Mar 17, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Comercial MS
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 85 / 100
Operario AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Operario AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario AC let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Comercial MS scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Operario AC
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 6

Operario AC

(Away)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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