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Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

0 - 1
FT
Uniao ABC Logo

Uniao ABC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao ABC in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao ABC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Comercial MS
35%
Draws
24%
Uniao ABC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comercial MS lately — more wins on the board than Uniao ABC.
  • Comercial MS are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Uniao ABC
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS
1:3
Feb 3, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
0:1
May 16, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS
2:2
Apr 29, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 86 / 100
Uniao ABC 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Uniao ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Comercial MS scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Uniao ABC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Uniao ABC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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Uniao ABC

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 7 0 1 16:4 21
2 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
3 Operario MS 8 3 3 2 13:7 12
4 Comercial MS 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
5 Uniao ABC 8 1 0 7 3:19 3
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
2 Dourados 8 3 4 1 6:4 13
3 Naviraiense 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Coxim 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
5 Aguia Negra 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 (Second stage)