Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense U20 2024

Pinheirense U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial PA U20 play Pinheirense U20 in the Paraense U20 2024. Pinheirense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Comercial PA U20 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 5.8 conceded. Pinheirense U20 averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Comercial PA U20 won 0, Pinheirense U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 25, 2024 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Comercial PA U20 and 4.00 for Pinheirense U20. This points to a Pinheirense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Comercial PA U20

15%

Draws

60%

Pinheirense U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pinheirense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Comercial PA U20 picked up more points recently compared to Pinheirense U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Comercial PA U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Pinheirense U20 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial PA U20	Pinheirense U20
Matches Played	5	13
Wins	1	4
Draws	0	2
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	0.8	2.31
Goals Conceded	5.8	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	0.80	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.80	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2024 Paraense U20

Comercial PA U20 vs Pinheirense U20

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PA U20 25 / 100

Pinheirense U20 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial PA U20 Pinheirense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheirense U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Pinheirense U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Comercial PA U20 attacking → ← attacking Pinheirense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PA U20 scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Pinheirense U20 let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Comercial PA U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pinheirense U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 14

0.80 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

5.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso U20	5	4	0	1	35:2	12
2	Maracana Taua U20	5	3	1	1	25:5	10
3	Belenense U20	5	3	1	1	14:4	10
4	Pinheirense U20	5	2	2	1	18:7	8
5	Comercial PA U20	5	1	0	4	4:29	3
6	Terra Alta U20	5	0	0	5	1:50	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paysandu PA U20	5	4	1	0	23:3	13
2	Sport Belem U20	5	4	0	1	11:1	12
3	Venus U20	5	2	1	2	11:5	7
4	Uniao Barbarense U20	5	1	2	2	9:11	5
5	Boca Junior U20	5	1	2	2	5:9	5
6	Ponte Nova U20	5	0	0	5	3:33	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Remo U20	6	6	0	0	27:6	18
2	CRT-23 Benevides U20	6	5	0	1	21:5	15
3	Craques do Futuro U20	6	3	1	2	33:11	10
4	Atletico Barbarense U20	6	2	1	3	10:21	7
5	Atletico JM9 U20	6	1	1	4	8:24	4
6	Trabalhista U20	6	1	1	4	9:28	4
7	CA Vila Rica U20	6	1	0	5	12:25	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fonte Nova U20	6	6	0	0	16:4	18
2	Juventude Barcarenense U20	6	5	0	1	23:2	15
3	Bragantino PA U20	6	3	0	3	10:9	9
4	Estrela PA U20	6	2	1	3	9:17	7
5	Cruzeirao U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
6	Tiradentes PA U20	6	2	0	4	15:13	6
7	ESMAC U20	6	0	0	6	5:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Castanhal U20	6	4	0	2	13:9	12
2	Real Naval U20	6	4	0	2	13:10	12
3	Meninos de Ouro U20	6	3	1	2	13:9	10
4	Castelo dos Sonhos U20	6	0	1	5	5:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aguia De Maraba U20	4	3	1	0	10:2	10
2	EC Tailandia U20	4	2	1	1	8:4	7
3	Tailandia AC U20	4	0	0	4	0:12	0