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Comercial PI U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI U20 play Ferroviario-PI U20 in the Piauiense U20 2025. Comercial PI U20 are favorites here. Recently, Comercial PI U20 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Ferroviario-PI U20 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Comercial PI U20 won 1, Ferroviario-PI U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 4, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Comercial PI U20 and 1.00 for Ferroviario-PI U20. This points to a Comercial PI U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Comercial PI U20
25%
Draws
15%
Ferroviario-PI U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Comercial PI U20 picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviario-PI U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Ferroviario-PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI U20 Ferroviario-PI U20
Matches Played 7 6
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.29 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Piauiense U20
Comercial PI U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco A. d. S. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferroviario-PI U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI U20 59 / 100
Ferroviario-PI U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI U20 Ferroviario-PI U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Comercial PI U20 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +40.1%
6.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Comercial PI U20 attacking → ← attacking Ferroviario-PI U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI U20 scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Ferroviario-PI U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Comercial PI U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario-PI U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 4
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Piaui U20540110:212
2Fluminense Piaui U2053208:211
3Comercial PI U2052218:78
4AE Altos U2051228:105
5Ferroviario-PI U2051043:73
6Parnahyba U2051041:103
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-PI U20540118:412
2TEC U20540115:712
3Picos U20531113:810
4Tiradentes-PI U20521210:77
5Oeirense U2050145:171
6Caicara U2050144:221