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Comercial PI U20 vs River-PI U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Moreira R.
45' Event
Lima Nunes E.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Comercial PI U20
15%
Draws
21%
River-PI U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Comercial PI U20's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what River-PI U20 have produced (1.2).
  • Win probability leans Comercial PI U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor River-PI U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 20%
River-PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI U20 River-PI U20
Matches Played 12 25
Wins 7 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Piauiense U20
Comercial PI U20 vs River-PI U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima Nunes E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI U20 85 / 100
River-PI U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI U20 River-PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI U20 scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Defensive concern: River-PI U20 conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI U20 VS River-PI U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI U20

(Home)
27 Jul
Comercial PI U20
1 : 2
River-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
10 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 1
Julho Esporte U20
08 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Comercial PI U20
06 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 0
Parnahyba U20
Page 1 of 3

River-PI U20

(Away)
30 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
4 : 2
River-PI U20
27 Jul
Comercial PI U20
1 : 2
River-PI U20
18 Jul
Tiradentes-PI U20
1 : 1
River-PI U20
13 Jul
River-PI U20
0 : 3
Fluminense Piaui U20
07 Jul
Atletico-PI U20
2 : 0
River-PI U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI U20 4
Julho Esporte U20 2
Picos U20 0
Tiradentes-PI U20 2
Fluminense Piaui U20 5
Ferroviario-PI U20 1
Comercial PI U20 1
River-PI U20 2
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI U20 3
Tiradentes-PI U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 4
River-PI U20 2
Final
Atletico-PI U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 1