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Comercial PI vs Ferroviario-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2023
Wed, Feb 15, 2023
3 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI host Ferroviario-PI in the Piauiense 2023. This has Comercial PI written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Comercial PI at 0.63 goals for, 1 against; Ferroviario-PI at 0 for, 3 against. Head-to-head, Comercial PI have won 2 to Ferroviario-PI's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Comercial PI. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Comercial PI
6%
Draws
4%
Ferroviario-PI
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario-PI haven't matched Comercial PI's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI taking it.
  • Regular Piauiense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Ferroviario-PI
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 10 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs Ferroviario-PI
3:0
Jan 15, 2023 Piauiense
Ferroviario-PI vs Comercial PI
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 85 / 100
Ferroviario-PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Ferroviario-PI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Comercial PI found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Ferroviario-PI let in goals in 50% of their last 14 matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Ferroviario-PI
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI1494129:1131
2Fluminense-PI1494124:931
3AE Altos1474321:1025
4Parnahyba1448217:1120
5Julho Esporte1444614:1416
6Corisabba1444620:1813
7Comercial PI1450913:2312
8Ferroviario-PI1400140:420