Sport Picks

Brazil

Série D 2012

Comercial PI

3 - 1

Santos AP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Série D 2012 game between Comercial PI and Santos AP finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Comercial PI

35%

Draws

45%

Santos AP

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Santos AP carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Santos AP a 45% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Comercial PI Clean Sheet 13%

Santos AP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial PI	Santos AP
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	6	9
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	0.9	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2012 Serie D

Comercial PI vs Santos AP

3:1

Aug 8, 2012 Serie D

Santos AP vs Comercial PI

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 10 / 100

Santos AP 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial PI Santos AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos AP conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Comercial PI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Comercial PI's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Santos AP

0.88 Goals Scored 2.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)

16 Sept

Comercial PI

1 : 1

Julho Esporte

12 Sept

Picos

2 : 1

Comercial PI

06 Sept

Comercial PI

2 : 1

Flamengo PI

26 Oct

Corisabba

2 : 1

Comercial PI

23 Oct

Comercial PI

0 : 0

Corisabba

Page 1 of 6

Santos AP

(Away)

28 Mar

SAO Jose

0 : 4

Santos AP

24 Mar

Oratorio

1 : 2

Santos AP

21 Mar

Santos AP

1 : 1

Oratorio

15 Mar

Santos AP

5 : 0

Macapa

08 Mar

Santos AP

1 : 1

Trem

Page 1 of 6