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Stadium Background

Comercial PI vs Sao Raimundo RR

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI play Sao Raimundo RR in the Série D 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Comercial PI averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Sao Raimundo RR averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Comercial PI won 0, Sao Raimundo RR won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 28, 2011 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Comercial PI and 1.99 for Sao Raimundo RR. This points to a Sao Raimundo RR double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Comercial PI
24%
Draws
45%
Sao Raimundo RR
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sao Raimundo RR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Comercial PI picked up more points recently compared to Sao Raimundo RR.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Raimundo RR Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Sao Raimundo RR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Sao Raimundo RR
3:3
Aug 14, 2011 Serie D
Sao Raimundo RR vs Comercial PI
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 30 / 100
Sao Raimundo RR 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Sao Raimundo RR

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Raimundo RR or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Comercial PI attacking → ← attacking Sao Raimundo RR

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Sao Raimundo RR let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Comercial PI went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Raimundo RR lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuiaba851219:1116
2Penarol84229:814
3Placido de Castro833216:912
4Nacional-AM (Manaus)82159:147
5SE Vila Aurora81347:186
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente842212:1014
2Sampaio Correa841317:813
3Trem83238:1111
4Sao Raimundo RR81529:118
5Comercial PI82249:158
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santa Cruz de Natal85129:616
2Santa Cruz843110:615
3Guarani de Juazeiro83237:411
4Alecrim83057:129
5CA Porto81256:115
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coruripe851213:1116
2Treze PB850314:1115
3Bahia de Feira840412:912
4SE River Plate822410:128
5Vitoria da Conquista82156:127
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tupi-MG842210:814
2Anapolina841315:1113
3Itumbiara841313:1013
4Gama82338:99
5Tocantinopolis821510:187
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Villa Nova AC851211:616
2Volta Redonda843111:315
3Audax RJ832313:711
4Bosque Formosa82335:129
5SAO Mateus80357:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osasco Sporting842212:814
2Mirassol84226:714
3CENE841315:1313
4Operario-PR83147:910
5Ceramica AC81256:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SE Juventude861119:719
2Cianorte84229:914
3Brusque83146:1110
4CA Metropolitano830514:169
5Cruzeiro RS81256:115