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Comercial U20 vs Rio Branco EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018
Comercial U20 Logo

Comercial U20

2 - 1
FT
Rio Branco EC U20 Logo

Rio Branco EC U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial U20 in this Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Comercial U20
15%
Draws
51%
Rio Branco EC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial U20 have won more games recently than Rio Branco EC U20.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Comercial U20 taking it.
  • Comercial U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Comercial U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Rio Branco EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial U20 Rio Branco EC U20
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 7 4
Draws 10 2
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.42 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2018 Copinha
Comercial U20 vs Rio Branco EC U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial U20 35 / 100
Rio Branco EC U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial U20 Rio Branco EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial U20 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Rio Branco EC U20 conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Branco EC U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial U20 VS Rio Branco EC U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.14
2 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 43%
88% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 7

Rio Branco EC U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Rio Branco EC U20
0 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao U20
07 Jun
Independente SP U20
0 : 2
Rio Branco EC U20
31 May
Rio Branco EC U20
1 : 3
Piracicaba U20
24 May
Rio Branco EC U20
2 : 1
Cosmopolitano Sports U20
17 May
Internacional de Limeira U20
2 : 1
Rio Branco EC U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
2 Criciuma U20 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 Madureira U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
4 Fernandopolis U20 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Athletico-PR U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 EC Timon U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Rio Preto EC U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Mirassol U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 America PE U20 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
4 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Novorizontino U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 America RN U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico GO U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 XV de Jau U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Lagarto U20 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Tupa U20 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional U20 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Boavista U20 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Osvaldo Cruz U20 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Capital FC U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense U20 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Desportiva Paraense U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Nautico U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Linense U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia AC U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Mogi Mirim U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Fluminense U20 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Tubarao U20 3 1 0 2 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Chapecoense-SC U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Araxa U20 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Francana U20 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Botafogo SP U20 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Sergipe U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cruzeiro DF U20 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
2 Comercial U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Rio Branco EC U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 EC Juventude U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Batatais U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Nova Iguacu U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Capivariano U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
3 Velo Clube U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 River-PI U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Londrina U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Desportivo U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Paysandu PA U20 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
4 Uniao Rondonopolis U20 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
2 Primavera EC U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Atibaia U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Globo FC U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Ituano U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Piracicaba U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Santa Cruz AL U20 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Ferroviaria U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Corumbaense U20 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Pinheiro AC U20 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Carlos U20 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Sport Recife U20 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Sao Raimundo RR U20 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
4 Confianca U20 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volta Redonda U20 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Itapirense U20 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
3 Fortaleza U20 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
4 Estanciano U20 3 0 0 3 4:8 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai U20 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Red Bull Brasil U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Paulista U20 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Aimore U20 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
3 Osasco Sporting U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Ji-Parana U20 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba U20 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
2 Elosport U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Comercial MS U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Atlantico EC U20 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasco Audax U20 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Atletico-MG U20 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Rio Branco ES U20 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Uniao Barbarense U20 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Joinville U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Real Brasilia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Taboao da Serra U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Sao Paulo Crystal U20 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Sao Bernardo FC U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Sao Caetano U20 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Rio Branco AC U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Agua Santa U20 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 CA Juventus U20 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Espirito Santo U20 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Taubate U20 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 Moto Club U20 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Luverdense U20 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Botafogo PB U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Manthiqueira U20 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Sao Bento U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goias U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Guarulhos U20 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 Flamengo SP U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Sete de Dourados U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio U20 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Trindade U20 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Bragantino U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Uniao Mogi U20 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 31)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santo Andre U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Sao Paulo-AP U20 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 ABC U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Nacional SP U20 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 32)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 America MG U20 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Remo U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Teixeira de Freitas U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2018 (Play Offs)