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Comerciantes FC vs ADA Jaen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC host ADA Jaen in the Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Comerciantes FC have averaged 1.27 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against ADA Jaen's 1.07 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Comerciantes FC slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.19, favoring ADA Jaen. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Comerciantes FC
20%
Draws
61%
ADA Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC haven't matched ADA Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ADA Jaen a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 20%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC ADA Jaen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Comerciantes FC
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs ADA Jaen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 16 / 100
ADA Jaen 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC ADA Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

ADA Jaen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Comerciantes FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS ADA Jaen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
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ADA Jaen

(Away)
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams