Sport Picks
Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Huanuco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ortega F.
27'
27'
Perlaza V.
33'
33'
Sub
Vargas P. In: Villanueva C.
Out: Vargas P.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 2 game between Comerciantes FC and Alianza Huanuco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comerciantes FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza Huanuco's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Comerciantes FC have produced (1.32).
- Comerciantes FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Comerciantes FC have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 15%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes FC | Alianza Huanuco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Huanuco
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Comerciantes FC
1:2
Sep 21, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Huanuco
3:1
Jun 26, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Perlaza V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Alianza Huanuco Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes FC 35 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes FC Alianza Huanuco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Comerciantes FC scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Alianza Huanuco let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Comerciantes FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes FC VS Alianza Huanuco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0 Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
09 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 3
Alianza Huanuco
(Away) 06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1 Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3 Alianza Huanuco
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
