Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comerciantes FC vs Binacional

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Carranza T. In: Santa Maria J.
Out: Carranza T.
23' Event
Villanueva C.
35' Event
Villanueva C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Comerciantes FC and Binacional finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Comerciantes FC
28%
Draws
22%
Binacional
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Comerciantes FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Comerciantes FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Binacional
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Binacional
3:0
Jul 9, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Binacional
6:1
May 20, 2024 Liga 2
Binacional vs Comerciantes FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Binacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 59 / 100
Binacional 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Binacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Comerciantes FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Binacional has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Comerciantes FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Binacional
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Alianza Huanuco942312:914
3Tacna Heroica83328:712
4Sport Huancayo 293338:912
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126