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Comerciantes FC vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Max Augustin
Sun, Oct 5, 2025
0 - 1
08:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Romero A.
39'
Sub
Mifflin L. In: Guevara R.
Out: Mifflin L.
46'
Sub
Pereira G. In: Zambrano J.
Out: Pereira G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between Comerciantes FC and Cesar Vallejo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesar Vallejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Comerciantes FC
22%
Draws
18%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comerciantes FC come out ahead of Cesar Vallejo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Comerciantes FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 68 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Cesar Vallejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cesar Vallejo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Comerciantes FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cesar Vallejo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Cesar Vallejo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Moquegua2
ADA Jaen1
Union Comercio-
TBD-
Comerciantes FC0
Cesar Vallejo1
TBD-
FC Cajamarca-
Semi-finals
Moquegua3
Union Comercio2
Cesar Vallejo0
FC Cajamarca3
Final
Moquegua2
FC Cajamarca3