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Comerciantes FC vs Union Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
Comerciantes FC Logo

Comerciantes FC

2 - 2
FT
Union Minas Logo

Union Minas

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pereira G.
50' Event
Arevalo F.
62'
Sub
Santibanez S. In: Mena Y.
Out: Santibanez S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Comerciantes FC and Union Minas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Comerciantes FC
20%
Draws
57%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC haven't matched Union Minas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 10%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Union Minas
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Union Minas
2:2
May 8, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Comerciantes FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinedo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mena Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 22 / 100
Union Minas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comerciantes FC scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Union Minas conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Comerciantes FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Union Minas
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

Union Minas

(Away)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)