Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
6'
6'
Girotti F.
16'
16'
Castillo E.
Assist: Garces R.
38'
38'
Chavez G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to A. Lima lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes Unidos.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- A. Lima have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | A. Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
4:0
Jun 19, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sen M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 41 / 100
A. Lima 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos A. Lima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Comerciantes Unidos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
A. Lima has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Recent resilience: Comerciantes Unidos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS A. Lima
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
30 May
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
10 May
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 FBC Melgar
25 Apr
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
A. Lima
(Away) 26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1 Sport Huancayo
12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2 Dep. Cali
28 Jun
A. Lima
1 : 2 Alianza Atl.
21 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
21 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1 A. Lima
14 Jun
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0 A. Lima
31 May
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1 A. Lima
16 May
Cienciano
0 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FBC Melgar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | A. Lima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Cusco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sport Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Atletico Grau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Los Chankas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Cajamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cienciano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
