Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
6'
6'
Girotti F.
16'
16'
Castillo E.
Assist: Garces R.
38'
38'
Chavez G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to A. Lima lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes Unidos.
- Win probability leans Comerciantes Unidos's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- A. Lima have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 15%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | A. Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
4:0
Jun 19, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs A. Lima
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sen M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 35 / 100
A. Lima 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos A. Lima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Comerciantes Unidos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
A. Lima has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Comerciantes Unidos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS A. Lima
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 3
A. Lima
(Away) 13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1 A. Lima
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
21 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | AD Tarma | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
