Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs AD Tarma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
AI Match Summary
Comerciantes Unidos host AD Tarma in the Liga 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Comerciantes Unidos at 1.32 goals for, 1.43 against; AD Tarma at 1.1 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor AD Tarma slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring AD Tarma. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Comerciantes Unidos's 1.32 goals per match outpaces what AD Tarma have produced (1.1).
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Comerciantes Unidos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Tarma let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Comerciantes Unidos found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Difficult form: AD Tarma registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home)AD Tarma
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | 10 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12:28 | 2 |
