Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
44'
44'
Salas J.
Assist: Quagliata N.
56'
56'
Sub
Alcedo F. In: Salinas T.
Out: Alcedo F.
56'
56'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Sen M.
Out: Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FBC Melgar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched FBC Melgar's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 14%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar
1:1
May 2, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzman P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
FBC Melgar Compare
Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 31 / 100
FBC Melgar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos FBC Melgar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Comerciantes Unidos scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: FBC Melgar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Comerciantes Unidos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS FBC Melgar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 3
FBC Melgar
(Away) 20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3 FBC Melgar
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
18 Jul
Cienciano
1 : 3 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
