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Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Miguez P.
32'
Sen M.
46'
Sub
Perez Azambuya E. M. In: Olivares J.
Out: Perez Azambuya E. M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Comerciantes Unidos
20%
Draws
61%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juan Pablo II a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 12%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes Unidos Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Comerciantes Unidos
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilca R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes Unidos 19 / 100
Juan Pablo II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes Unidos Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Comerciantes Unidos scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Comerciantes Unidos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes Unidos VS Juan Pablo II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes Unidos

(Home)
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3
Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6

Juan Pablo II

(Away)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)