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Como W vs Fiorentina W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Omarsdottir I.
40'
Sub
Cortes M. In: Cerrato A.
Out: Cortes M.
46' Event
Bergersen M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women game between Como W and Fiorentina W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Como W
15%
Draws
39%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Como W Clean Sheet 15%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Como W vs Fiorentina W
1:1
May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Como W
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs Fiorentina W
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Como W
2:0
Jan 11, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs Fiorentina W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergersen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsdottir I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como W 30 / 100
Fiorentina W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Fiorentina W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Como W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como W VS Fiorentina W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Como W

(Home)
04 Oct
Como W
0 : 2
Inter W
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
06 Sept
Como W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
29 Aug
Juventus W
1 : 0
Como W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
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Fiorentina W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
6 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
7 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
10 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
12 Sassuolo W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)