Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Como W vs Fiorentina W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Hurtig L. In: Catena M.
Out: Hurtig L.
28' Event
Chidiac A.
Assist: Pavan M.
41' Event
Tryggvadottir K.
Assist: Janogy M.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Como W
20%
Draws
23%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Como W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fiorentina W lately — more wins on the board than Como W.
  • Como W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fiorentina W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Como W Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Como W
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs Fiorentina W
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Como W
2:0
Jan 11, 2025 Serie A Women
Como W vs Fiorentina W
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Como W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chidiac A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Catena M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tryggvadottir K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como W 84 / 100
Fiorentina W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Como W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Fiorentina W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Como W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como W VS Fiorentina W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Como W

(Home)
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
06 Sept
Como W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
29 Aug
Juventus W
1 : 0
Como W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
16 May
Inter W
0 : 3
Como W
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina W

(Away)
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)