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Comoros vs Senegal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ndiaye I.
Assist: Mbaye I.
32'
Sub
Youssouf B. In: Abdallah M.
Out: Youssouf B.
46'
Sub
Ibrahim Riviere E. In: Ali A.
Out: Ibrahim Riviere E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Comoros and Senegal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Comoros
15%
Draws
53%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal come out ahead of Comoros on wins alone.
  • Senegal are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Comoros Clean Sheet 17%
Senegal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros Senegal
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.96 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comoros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 20 / 100
Senegal 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Senegal conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Comoros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Senegal's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Senegal
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
24 Sept
Cameroon
3 : 1
Comoros
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
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Senegal

(Away)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
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