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Compostela vs CD Boiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guisande A.
36' Event
Prol M.
58' Event
Parapar J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Compostela and CD Boiro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Compostela
30%
Draws
47%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Boiro haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Boiro a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Compostela Clean Sheet 14%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela CD Boiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs CD Boiro
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Compostela
1:3
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs CD Boiro
6:0
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Compostela
1:1
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Compostela
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Guisande A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parapar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prol M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 23 / 100
CD Boiro 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Compostela's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Boiro conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Compostela stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS CD Boiro
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)