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Compostela vs CD Castro

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Compostela and CD Castro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Compostela
30%
Draws
12%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Compostela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Compostela come out ahead of CD Castro on wins alone.
  • Compostela are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Compostela Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela CD Castro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs CD Castro
3:1
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Compostela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 85 / 100
CD Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Compostela's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Compostela stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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